The Archive · 1914

The Opposing Theories

It seems that Chinese thinkers are divided into two classes. Both look at the war, not from the standpoint of the results in Europe, but of the possible results to China, and Asia.in general. One seems to rejoice in this terrible outbreak. It says that for the present at any rate, and for some time to come, whatever the ultimate sults of the war may be, both parties will be exhausted, and, therefore, Asia, and China may hope for peace. In the past, only the mutual jealousies of the Great Powers of Furope have prevented China from being dismembered and divided amongst those who were covetous for the rich lands of the Middle Kingdom. We may now hope that instead of these jealousies, there will be national prostration on the of these European countries, and, therefore, they will perforce he compelled to let China alone. Those who are obsessed with this view urge Yuan Shih-kai and supporters to set to work to strengthen the situation in China, so that when Europe shall be able again to take a hand in the pol of the Fast. China will be strong enough to be respected, and in this way the war will be a great blessing to this country.

The Other Vi The other view is altogether different, The outlook according to them is dark. This great European struggle will go on some time longer, but will not be unduly prolonged, modern weapons being what they are, and the fierceness of the combat tants being what it is. Thereupon, one side or the other will come out victorious. The successful part will be full of military pride: and as soon as she has done with her

not be satisfied till there is European enemy, the war wal will other enemy to subdue and. tome other country to conquer. The logical issue is clear. The victorious party will assuredly turn itself to the East, and China will be the objective. Therefore, whichever of the combatants come out at top, China, in the long run, must suffer.

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