On, Friday optimism had perhaps reached its apex. The reports of defections from the ranks of Kuo's army led to the belief that ° the worst was over and that it w nly 'a question of time for the situation to clear, but on Saturday when it was learned that the men who had come over from Kuo's army hed' again turned against Mukden everybody seemed to realize int the situation was hopeless 0 Savas Marshal Chang was concern
sauve qui peut. Chang Te>lin's and that it was now a case family had deen in the Yamato Hotel for days,. and. the wives and families of ther: officials were alco, invthelter, but; the Marshal is,.in American phraseology, no quitter, fand, jhevis stil Here, Chinese urn cure te the contrary, as'several foreign eng have had interviews bimtoday. Probably he: will for, Dairen tomorrow; banding ever 40 the Civil Governor who willepn= trol the situation until the arri Without attempting to prophesy the course of events with any of finality, the following itoment of the new alignment of forces in China is made to assist the reader to understand the daily Dudget of telegraphic news from the various warring centres. The new alignment is at the moment of writing as follows:
1. Chang Tso-lin—The Mukden Jeader stands practically alone, as-|* ited only by his family and by remaining. adherents. within. Man-chara, "He hes been deserted by all his Lieutenants inside the Great Wall. and. has lost such parts of his stores and equipment as happened tobe in Tientsin or else. where in China when General Kuo Sung-ling turned on him.
2, The Kuominchun—Feng Yuhsiang's hold on the whole Kuomin chun organization has been strengthened by the defection of Kuo Sungrling" from the Fengtien organisation. The Second a Third Kuominchun armies, which had been in negotiation with Wa Pei-fu, are now solidly worker with Feng Yuchsiang.
Feng Vu-hsiang can claim as his allies Sun Chuan-fang in Kiangsu and Chekiang and the Peking Government. The cordial relations between "Little" "Hsu and" Sun are explained in this 3. Wu Peistu—Wu Pei-fu is in alliance at this moment with Li Ching-lin, Tupan of Chibli, and Chang Chung-chang, Tupan of Shantung. This does not mean in alliance with Chang: 19 conclusion as to such possibil is. time be drawn. The defeat of the Second Kuominchun army in southern, Chihli strengthens Wu Pei-fu's position in Honan.
4. The Kuomintang—The Canton' Government is apparently in negotiation with various elements in China. It is believed to have been in relationship with Feng Yuhsiang for more than a year, but it is now also in. negotiation with Wu Pei-fu and a complete change of policy, internal and international of the Kuomintang organization i being predicated upon these negotiations. The anti-Bolshevik element of the Kuomintang is. actively working to prevent a coalition of the so-called Bolshevik element with the conservative forces in Central hina, Generali Hud' Sung-ling.' It is expected that the' Young Gen-who: ie preparing to. " make! stand at Hsinmuntun, will be able to resist' the advance of Kuo,
Text read from the printed page and cleaned; old type leaves the occasional error.