'To the Editor' of the "Nonmi-Cuta Datu News"
'Siv—The reported German army movement on the Russian frontier and. the visit '0 London of the British Ambassador to Moscow, again focus. Ses the interest of the' British and 'Allled peoples upon Soviet' Russia. TiN recently Russia was said to hold the Key position of this war, waiting for her moment to come, when she Would take the initiative over the exhausted warring nations. But it seems that Russia has lost this envied position with the fall of France and Russia's failure to prolong the Battle of the Balkans, 'Today two armies only are occupying Europe, the armies of Germany and Russia,' The strength of a mod~ erin army is readily estimated from the industrial potentiality of its country, and not from man-power, High Industrial potentiality implies ehtefty good factories, good general organzation, an adequate transport sys-fern, well-trained technical personnel. How strikingly identical are these qualities with the requirements of the modern army! With the excep~ tion of a few. blinded communist fanatics (but most of them can safely assumed to be more demagogic than blinded), everybody will at once admit Getmany's high superior ity over Soviet Russia in all these qualities. Besides, a great part of the Russian army, in spite of the Russo-Japanese Pact, must be kept in the Far"East, which at least equalizes the strain upon. Germany's army caused by the occupation of the conquered territories, We may neglect the war in Africa on account of the comparatively small forces involved. 11 is of minor importance whether this superiority Ig of the magnitude of two, three, or five to one, and it would also be dificult to estimate it. But, in any case, that means that "Russia is at the merey of Germany. Why, then, does Germany not take quick advantage of. this "favourable situation, which may deteriorate the moment Great Britain is able to ham. per: Germany's industry ints effec tively There seems to be, I think, one chief deterrent factor in Germany's aggressive attitude towards Soviet Russia, Tt is the danger of a revolution in Russia, So far revolutions as dens ex machine have failed several times already, within the last few years even, to full the expectations cherished On the' behalf, I myself believe that a successful revolution impossible against a still intact military and police machine. But in Soviet Russia, where 200° million people are Kent oliva on the verge of wuman endurance. fed. chiefly with promises of future prosperity and with the propaganda pictures of miserable outside world at war, where the deficiencies are explained away on the ground of the necessity, of keeping and strengthening the." vincible" Red Army which.eventual-will crush the capitalist world, any major defeat or obviously unfavourable concessions that could not easily be explained away, would rapidly fan to open flames the glow below the seemingly dead ashes. T am painting this gloomy picture of the Red Pa-raise with a certain claim of au= thority, having left that country only recently after a rather long involuntary stay.
Such a revolution would destroy any industrial and agricultural output from which Germany is now inereasingly drawing certain advantages. Pothaps still more important would the effect on the communist sul ver sive propaganda throughout part of the world which today supports Germany, Tt would nally Open the eyes of a deceived world to the real conditions in Soviet Russia, an enlightenment which could not be easily explained as capitalist propaganda T think, therefore, that Hitler and Stalin will soon come to an agree ment favourable for Germany only, but allowing Statin 0 continue his reign over the poor Russian nations for the future "glory" of the ideas of Marx and Lenin.
But let us not allow our conviction of the ultimate victory of humanity. over terrorism to be affected by this, Seemingly unfavourable fact. This development is natural, Soviet Rus-Sia belongs to the other side and It was the tragic error of the Chamber-Tain era to have based its polley upon a contrary conception. This Is no criticism, but we must realize facts and clear our view.
Democracy seems slow in bringing forces into battle, Only now, after almost two years of war, the U.S.A. is realizing that this war means business, and this giant is at last preparing for action, 'We may have to live through very hard and bitter times yet, but, fnally, there will be no" escape for the poor cheated peoples of Germany, aly, Soviet Russia, and those who stil might Join them, from the dis astrous defeat in this' war that they alone imposed upon the world.
Aw Atty.
Shanghai, June 14.
Text read from the printed page and cleaned; old type leaves the occasional error.