The BasicsLive channel

Why Japan is shrinking

Japan's population peaked in 2008. Here is the arithmetic behind the decline — and what it means.

· 1:07 · Narrated by Iris Calder, explainer host · Nora Lindqvist, commentary (synthetic voices)

Transcript

  1. Iris CalderJapan's population is shrinking. It has been for more than fifteen years.
  2. Iris CalderIt peaked in two thousand and eight, at about one hundred and twenty-eight million people. Since then, the line has only gone one way.
  3. Iris CalderThe reason is simple arithmetic. In twenty twenty-four, about six hundred and eighty-six thousand babies were born in Japan, the fewest since records began in eighteen ninety-nine.
  4. Iris CalderOn average, each woman now has about one point one five children. A population holds steady at around two point one.
  5. Iris CalderSo the official projection keeps falling: to about eighty-seven million people by twenty seventy.
  6. Nora LindqvistNumbers like these are easy to read, and hard to feel. What they describe is a country growing older.
  7. Nora LindqvistFewer workers. More retirees. Emptier towns.
  8. Nora LindqvistThat is the problem every government in Tokyo now has to solve.
  9. Iris CalderThat's The Basics, from The North China Times.

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